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Tiffany not feeling blue: Stock up 20% this year

March 22, 2013: 11:34 AM ET
Tiffany had a rough 2012. But investors are more excited about the retailer's prospects this year.

Tiffany had a rough 2012. But investors are more excited about the retailer's prospects this year.

Tiffany might want to change the color of its trademark blue box to green. Shares of Tiffany (TIF) rose nearly 2% Friday after the luxury retailer reported earnings that topped forecasts.

The stock is now up more than 20% year-to-date, surging even as shares of other luxury brands such as Coach (COH) and Nordstrom (JWN) have fallen this year.

Tiffany's stock is also outperforming lower-end jewelry chains Signet (SIG) -- of "He went to Jared!" and "Every kiss begins with Kay" fame -- and Zale (ZLC) as well as online jeweler Blue Nile (NILE).

Related: The wedding is off. Who gets the ring?

Still, some traders on StockTwits are skeptical that Tiffany can continue to do so well. A closer look at the numbers shows some less-than-sparkling trends. Overall sales were a bit below forecasts. Same-store sales were flat from a year ago. And the earnings outlook wasn't that great.

$TIF guide 6-9% growth however Q1 down 15-20%. Seriously are we going to do the back half weighted thing again?

But worth remembering with flat comps in Q4, Tiffany is under-performing high & low end from Zales to Harry Winston $TIF $HWD $SIG #Cartier

Very interesting. It could be the case that investors were bracing for worse results. After all, earnings estimates for the quarter and the full year have already come down over the past three months. And the stock missed the rally last year, falling nearly 12% in 2012.

But some traders think Tiffany's stock has rebounded a little too quickly.

$TIF Expensive stock at this point. Went short at $71 Bearish

$TIF still trading at 23x this year's numbers. Way too rich. Growth just isnt there

That's a great point about valuation. Signet and Zale are both trading at only about 12 to 13 times fiscal 2014 earnings estimates.

Nonetheless, other traders felt that Tiffany's numbers were worth celebrating and added that this could be the beginning of a comeback for luxury overall.

Decent earnings from $TIF - expect to see $COH move up in tandem and run into 4/23 er

Maybe $KORS catches a lift on positive outlook by $TIF up 4.55% in PreMarket post-earnings

Both Coach and Michael Kors (KORS) were up Friday morning. Then again, so was the whole market.

Speaking of the market, it's interesting (and perhaps a bit scary in a 2007-early 2008 subprime is "likely to be contained" sort of way) that investors in the U.S. have largely dismissed the turmoil in Cyprus this week.

Few seem to fear that Cyprus may leave the eurozone and spark a bigger round of problems in the likes of Greece, Spain and Italy. The market may be right (they may be crazy) to not be worried. Or they may be betting on a simple and elegant solution to the Cyprus problem. And you'll find it in my Reader Comment of the Week.

Ha! Apple (AAPL) could use that $137 billion in cash for altruistic reasons. But I'm not betting on Tim Cook saving Europe.

As for the iPhone 6, isn't the iPhone 5S coming out first? Either way, I hope Apple fixes its maligned Maps app. At the very least, it should give Cypriots the proper directions to their nearest ATM in case there's another bank run next week.

  • DECK the halls with furry boots. UGG maker up 7%.

    UGG maker Deckers Outdoor hasn't been for the dogs lately. The stock surged Monday after an analyst upgraded it to a buy.

    Baby, it's cold outside! Winter will be here (at least for those of us in the Northern Hemisphere) in a few weeks. So is it any surprise that shares of Deckers Outdoor (DECK), the maker of the popular (although not entirely aesthetically pleasing) fuzzy boot are rallying?

    Shares MORE

    - Dec 3, 2012 12:57 PM ET
  • Coach shares plummet 15% on sales miss

    Put me in Coach (COH)? Not today. Shares of the luxury handbag maker plunged 15% Tuesday morning after the company reported that sales missed forecasts. Of particular concern is the fact that Coach's CEO pointed to sluggishness in North America. Coach indicated that its rivals are more aggressively discounting merchandise and that Coach is likely to step up with price cuts too.

    Is that bad news for other luxury retailers? Perhaps. MORE

    - Jul 31, 2012 9:50 AM ET
    Posted in: , ,
  • Best of StockTwits: Investors in a $TIF

    Tiffany (TIF) is showing that diamonds are not an investor's best friend. And eBay's (EBAY) deal to get PayPal to be used on VeriFone Systems (PAY) cash registers gets little love from traders.

    etfhack: @Retail_Guru $TIF inventories up 27%? how can this not bode horribly for margins in back 1/2 of yr?

    firstadopter: $TIF PR: "Americas region underperformed, continuing a soft trend that began in the last quarter of 2011" Wow they MORE

    - May 24, 2012 12:51 PM ET
    Posted in: , ,
  • No life of luxury: Tiffany plunges

    What's Holly Golightly to do? Breakfast at Tiffany's is a decidedly ugly affair Thursday morning. Shares plunged more than 7% in heavy pre-market trading after the jeweler reported earnings that missed estimates and also issued guidance for the fiscal year that was below forecasts.

    Is the bad news from Tiffany (TIF) a sign that even the most affluent of consumers around the world are starting to feel the pinch from what MORE

    - May 24, 2012 8:01 AM ET
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