How to stay safe in a scary marketAugust 7, 2014: 12:29 PM ET
The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of Paul R. La Monica. Other than Time Warner, the parent of CNNMoney, Abbott Laboratories and AbbVie, La Monica does not own positions in any individual stocks.
Remember how stocks did nothing but go up all the time? That's so 2013.
Volatility is back. Investors are growing increasingly jittery about geopolitical flare-ups in Ukraine and Gaza (and beyond). People are worried about market valuations.
The CNNMoney Fear & Greed Index is at the Extreme Fear level of 6 and can't go much lower! (There is no such thing as a negative reading.)
I wrote last week about how long-term Treasury bonds have outperformed stocks this year. Since then, bond prices have climbed further (sending yields down) and stocks have fallen a bit more. It shows that investors are craving safety.
But rushing into bonds and ignoring stocks because of short-term risks is not a smart move for the long haul.
"History says that when investors get nervous, that is a reasonable time to go the other way. Selling when stocks are down is the opposite of what you should be doing," said Patrick Kaser, a managing director for Brandywine Global. "Investors have to retrain their brains to think of a longer-time frame."
Exactly. I said as much last week in the video below.
So now's the time (Paging Charlie Parker! Bebop fans will be rewarded at the end of this column) to be looking at blue chip, dividend-paying companies that can hold up well during rocky periods for the broader market.
All six stocks pay dividends and five of them (Citi is the exception) have dividend yields that are greater than the 2.45% yield on the 10-year Treasury.
They are all bargains as well. The three financials and GM each trade for less than 10 times 2015 earnings estimates. Cisco and Microsoft are valued at 12 and 16 times forecasts for 2015 profits, respectively.
"We're not invested in these stocks just because they are big. We're in them because they are cheap," Kaser says.
Mark Eveans, chief investment officer of Meritage Portfolio Management, also is favoring larger, brand name stocks. His firm owns tobacco titan Altria (MO), semiconductor leader (INTC) and defense contractor Lockheed Martin (LMT) in its Meritage Yield-Focus Equity fund.
Intel and Lockheed pay dividends that yield more than 3%. Altria's stock has a yield of 4.5%.
Eveans says these kinds of companies offer protection for investors in uncertain times. They all have strong balance sheets -- so you can count on the steady dividend payments even if the stock prices don't rise all that much.
"If the broader market sluggishness continues, high-yield stocks should do well over the long-term," he said, adding that "dividends should play a bigger role in any investment strategy."
Eveans is hopeful that the recent market pullback will also make companies think twice about using cash to buy back more stock. Share repurchases are often viewed as a good thing by investors because it's an easy way to improve earnings per share since it lowers the share count.
But a dividend is tangible. It's actual money an investor can use to buy more stock ... or other things that could help boost the economy.
Eveans also advises investors to think globally. His fund owns British drug maker AstraZeneca (AZN), Canadian banks Toronto-Dominion (TD) and Bank of Montreal (BMO) as well as Australian financial firms National Australia Bank (NABZY) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZBY).
Of course, none of these stocks will be immune from broader macroeconomic trends. But if you are willing to buy the argument that what's going on now may be nothing more than the start of a healthy correction and not the second coming of 2008, then sticking with blue chips is a way to help you sleep better at night.
As any halfway-decent poker player knows, you don't fold your hand when you've got good cards.
Reader Comment of the Week ... and The Buzz is going on a late summer hiatus! It's a bit strange to me to see so much anxiety about this market "slump" since the S&P 500 is still just 3% from its all-time high. But one Twitter follower hopes to profit from this "panic."
Anyway, I hope everyone enjoys the dog days of summer. I'm off tomorrow and the next two weeks. So I'll be back on Twitter on 8/25 and will have a column on 8/26.
Sorta sad to be missing Cisco earnings next week. So I'll get this out of my system. CAYSH!
And for those of you who have stuck around this long due to the promise of a Bird video, I am a man of my word. Enjoy.