The Buzz

All markets and investing news all the time

Apple closing in on all-time high. Again.

August 6, 2012: 1:19 PM ET

Remember all the investor disappointment about Apple's latest earnings report? That's no longer an issue. Shares of Apple (AAPL) were up nearly 1.5% Monday to about $625. The stock has rebounded more than 8% since a 4% pummeling the day after it missed forecasts and guided lower. In fact, the stock is now just 3% below the all-time high of $644 it set back in April.

It appears that any lingering concerns about Apple's rare case of underperforming and underdelivering have been replaced by excitement about new products (iPhone 5 is rumored to be unveiled and go on sale next month) and the upcoming dividend payment to shareholders. As such, several traders on StockTwits believe that it would be a mistake to bet against Apple.

DeidreZune:Research firm analyzes 6 million social conversations to conclude:"the launch of the iPhone5 will be epic." $AAPL http://t.co/SA49o9eV

FITZSTOCK2004: $AAPL = "50 shades of GREEN"

Apple may one day screw up royally and release a product that nobody wants. But take one look at the share prices of Research in Motion (RIMM), Nokia (NOK), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and Dell (DELL) and ask yourselves if you think any of them will soon make hardware that's sexier than iEverything? (Or that EL James book it seems everybody but me is reading.) Didn't think so.

Sure, Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG) and Samsung are all fierce competitors too. But Apple deserves the benefit of the doubt ... assuming there still are any doubts of course.

totalguru: Step aside 625 coming thru $AAPL. BTW If you're short you have to pay div in addition to losing your shirt. Lol.

TrendRida: Shorts are not going to want to pay dividend should see some short covering especially on the other side of 620. $AAPL

That is a fantastic point that I had not considered. Apple's $2.65 per share dividend will be paid out on August 16 to any shareholders of record as of August 13. So if you are silly enough to be shorting Apple, it makes sense to cover before the dividend is paid. Otherwise you would have to return (i.e. buy back) the shares you borrowed and also pay the dividend on top of that.

I'm still not sure I believe the stock split chatter though ... even though a split could make the shares even more attractive to retail investors and the people who manage the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

It will be interesting to see what Apple's stock does once the iPhone 5 is released. The next milestone for the company would be exceeding $600 billion in market value.  Apple is currently only about 3% below that level. That may seem obscene. But as I've said repeatedly in Buzz columns, videos and over on Twitter -- aka the thing that Apple is never going to buy no matter what the NY Times and other media outlets are reporting --  Apple remains a cheap stock.

Apple is valued at just 14 times fiscal 2012 earnings estimates -- despite its market dominance, stellar growth prospects (forecasts of 20%+ EPS growth on average for the next few years) and squeaky-clean balance sheet with well north of $100 billion in cash. Now you add on the dividend -- which will yield a relatively 1.7% -- to boot?

I had my colleague David Goldman ask Siri if it's a good idea to short Apple stock. (I merely possess a Siri-less iPhone 4.) Her response? "I cannot help you pick stocks, Dave." That was very diplomatic of her. But trust this lowly carbon-based life form. The answer is no.

Join the Conversation
Fear & Greed
Sponsored by
About This Author
Paul Lamonica
Paul R. La Monica
Assistant Managing Editor, CNNMoney

Paul R. La Monica is an assistant managing editor at CNNMoney. He is the author of the site's daily column, The Buzz, and also tweets throughout the day about the markets and economy @LaMonicaBuzz. La Monica also oversees the site's economic, markets and technology coverage.

To view my watchlist

Not a member yet?

Sign up now for a free account
Stupid Stock Move of the Day
#StupidStock Moves of the Day! Ebola is scary. But airline sector sell-off is overly emotional. Nothing to suggest people will stop flying.
Powered by WordPress.com VIP.
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 242 other followers